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Exploiting Investors Social Network for Stock Prediction in China's Market

机译:利用投资者社会网络进行中国股市预测   市场

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摘要

Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence thetrends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focusedon the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countriessuch as China, where retail investors dominate the market. In this regard, asretail investors are prone to be influenced by news or other social media,psychological and behavioral features extracted from social media platforms arethought to well predict stock price movements in the China's market. Recentadvances in the investor social network in China enables the extraction of suchfeatures from web-scale data. In this paper, on the basis of tweets fromXueqiu, a popular Chinese Twitter-like social platform specialized forinvestors, we analyze features with regard to collective sentiment andperception on stock relatedness and predict stock price movements by employingnonlinear models. The features of interest prove to be effective in ourexperiments.
机译:最近的工作表明,社交媒体平台能够影响股票价格走势。但是,现有作品主要集中在美国股市,而对某些新兴国家(例如中国)则缺乏关注,在这些国家,散户投资者主导着市场。在这方面,散户投资者容易受到新闻或其他社交媒体的影响,从社交媒体平台提取的心理和行为特征被认为可以很好地预测中国市场的股价走势。中国投资者社交网络的最新进展使得可以从网络规模数据中提取此类功能。在本文中,基于来自中国类似Twitter的流行的面向投资者的社交平台薛丘的推文,我们分析了关于股票相关性的集体情绪和知觉的特征,并采用非线性模型预测了股价的波动。感兴趣的特征在我们的实验中被证明是有效的。

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